Entries by wxbrad

Grading my Winter Storm Forecast: 2/15/2016

As you know I keep very detailed records of my forecasts and like with our last winter storm I like to grade my work. This is so I can learn from mistakes and find ways to do better the next time. So let’s quickly recap yesterday’s storm and give me some grades. Snow Accumulations: 93% […]

Snow chances increasing for Sunday morning

Many people mainly north of Charlotte will see snow falling tomorrow morning and maybe even around Charlotte. The real question is how likely it will be that anything actually sticks to the ground. The ground temperatures will be around 40°, and air temperatures will be in the mid to upper 30s. So this will be […]

Our Wet November & Autumn in Charts

No big shock here that November was the wettest November in Charlotte’s record books. These records go back 137 years to 1878 here in Charlotte. It also was an incredibly wet Autumn here in the Queen City. What’s really stunning is just how big the turn around has been from Summer drought to Autumn surplus.

My 11th Annual Winter Forecast for Winter 2015-16.

El Nino is something you have likely been hearing about since earlier this year. What it is and it’s impacts on our winter weather are very well established. What El Nino means is an above-normal warming of the waters in the Pacific Ocean off the West Coast of South America. This warming water makes a […]

The Earliest Snowfall on Record in North Carolina, October 1st 2011

4 years ago snow moved into the North Carolina mountains and set a record for the earliest measurable snow on record in the state. It actually started snowing on Spetmebr 30 but accumulations didn’t occur until October 1st. PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC 207 PM EDT THU OCT 6 2011 …PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT… […]

1,000 Year rainfall event vs 1,000 year flood, what that actually means.

This past weekend’s epic flooding in South Carolina was indeed a 1,000-year rainfall event. Though that term is being misused and abused and even sometimes confused with a 1,000-year flood event. Both are entirely different things and measured differently. 1,000-year rainfall event definition: A 1,000-year rainfall event is measured by the amount of rain over a particular […]