As you know I keep very detailed records of my forecasts and like with our last winter storm I like to grade my work. This is so I can learn from mistakes and find ways to do better the next time. So let’s quickly recap yesterday’s storm and give me some grades. Snow Accumulations: 93% […]
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Entries by wxbrad
I have got quite a few questions about what these winter weather advisories, winter storm warnings actually mean? Here are the criteria and definitions for our area. These are issued mainly from the National Weather Service office in Greer, SC or GSP for short.
With cold air surging into the Carolinas over the next few days and especially this weekend. The set-up for a potential winter storm is slowly coming together. Like most Carolina winter storms the big question is the storm track and ultimately what type of winter precip and how much?
The set-up is clearly there for some snow late this weekend into early next week. The only real question is will we have just flurries or something more substantial? A large trough of low pressure will move in this weekend and at the base of the trough I expect low pressure to form off the […]
Some of the coldest air of the season could be on the way next week; this is fairly certain. What’s not so certain is the chance for a storm to go along with this cold air. All signals are pointing to a weakening of the polar vortex which will lead to a big time trough […]
It seems there is a new profession in the field of weather forecasting. I like to call it modelology. Which is far different from the field of meteorology. There is a disturbing trend that seems to be infecting our field and, in my opinion, is making us worse at forecasting the weather.
Now that we have had time to recover a bit from Friday-Saturdays winter storm. Time to hand out some grades on my forecast. This is something I do with all my forecasts but thought I’d share them with you.
This is why I don’t want people to get caught up in one type of threats like snow or sleet. We could see everything from rain to ice. The typical Carolina winter storm usually has a little bit of everything. The ice potential is honestly becoming my biggest concern for the Piedmont. In the mountains and […]
Things are coming together for a potential winter storm somewhere on the east coast. There are still huge questions about track, intensity and type of storm this could be. The storm is currently over the Pacific ocean, so it is not being sampled by any upper air station. Thus, the models are not going to […]
Many people mainly north of Charlotte will see snow falling tomorrow morning and maybe even around Charlotte. The real question is how likely it will be that anything actually sticks to the ground. The ground temperatures will be around 40°, and air temperatures will be in the mid to upper 30s. So this will be […]
I talked about the cold, and now there are signs that storminess could be coming with that cold. It’s still very far out, but the pattern is starting to evolve to one that should bring winter weather to the eastern part of the country. Possible even parts of the Carolinas.
Winter finally arrived this week with temperatures well below average. We hit some of the lowest temperatures we have seen in almost a year with a high of just 40° on Tuesday and a low this morning of 19°. Things will be slow to warm up the next few days, but we will be back […]
So far this December is on pace to be the 3rd warmest on record. So I understand the constant questions about when we might see some, at least, winter-like weather. Though at times I feel like my kids are asking me, “are we there yet?”, on vacation when we just left the house. 🙂
The song goes, dreaming of a white Christmas for a good reason. We rarely if ever get snow on Christmas day in Charlotte. A white Christmas is defined as having measurable snow on the ground or measurable snow falling on Christmas day.
No big shock here that November was the wettest November in Charlotte’s record books. These records go back 137 years to 1878 here in Charlotte. It also was an incredibly wet Autumn here in the Queen City. What’s really stunning is just how big the turn around has been from Summer drought to Autumn surplus.
El Nino is something you have likely been hearing about since earlier this year. What it is and it’s impacts on our winter weather are very well established. What El Nino means is an above-normal warming of the waters in the Pacific Ocean off the West Coast of South America. This warming water makes a […]
4 years ago snow moved into the North Carolina mountains and set a record for the earliest measurable snow on record in the state. It actually started snowing on Spetmebr 30 but accumulations didn’t occur until October 1st. PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC 207 PM EDT THU OCT 6 2011 …PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT… […]
It’s that time of the year when you begin to see loads of lady bugs or stink bugs swarming on the sunny side of your home. As the temperatures drop usually after the first frost or freeze or we get some cooler nights in the 40s. Along with sun angle getting lower the ladybug or […]
This past weekend’s epic flooding in South Carolina was indeed a 1,000-year rainfall event. Though that term is being misused and abused and even sometimes confused with a 1,000-year flood event. Both are entirely different things and measured differently. 1,000-year rainfall event definition: A 1,000-year rainfall event is measured by the amount of rain over a particular […]
I hate it when people exaggerate a weather threat as much as the next person. In this case, you really wouldn’t be wrong is using any method you can find to get people to listen to the potential threat. There are very few times in a Meteorologists career where these many elements in the atmosphere […]