@TrentMWeather yeah that's why I didn't even try, way too steep.
There has been a bunch of them across the southeast especially in South Carolina. Where a few spots like Columbia had 8.6” and their old record was 0” !
Some of the most amazing totals and pictures came from areas that don’t normally see snow!
This across South Carolina!
Totals across the low Country of South Carolina
When people from other parts of the country hear that there are ski resorts in the North Carolina Mountains they are amazed. People tend to forget that the central Appalachians have elevations of 5-6,000 feet. That combined with a directly link to the northwest flow moisture off of the great lakes produced quite a bit of snowfall. This season the snow totals have been off the charts and we still have one month left in the winter season. Appalachian in Blowing Rock has received 66.7” so far when they only average 50”. Sugar Mountain is already at 87.5” which is well above their 78” average and Ski Beech mountain is already at 95” a whole 15” above their normal of 80” You can see those are some high average snowfalls but this season has not only surpassed those averages but it has been the most since the winter of 1995-1996. That too was another active winter in the southeast when the records that have already been broken in Washington, Baltimore and Philadelphia were set. There’s a chance that the North Carolina Mountains could surpass those totals as well.
You can check the snow totals across the Southeast ski areas below, check out just how much has fallen in WV! Amazing winter for skiing in the southeast.
Ski forecasts and all you need to know about skiing in the Southeast can be found right here!
It won’t be a record breaker for Charlotte area but this storm will continue to set records for areas of the deep south as snow falls in areas that have gone 30 years with out measurable snow. Here is a quick summary of what to expect here in the Carolinas.
The Models / GFS
The thing about this is it has been the wettest so far and these are 120 hour totals so some of the Presidents Day’s clipper is in there, more on that event later.
Quick Movie of the soundings from both models showing the timing and amounts of snow at CLT
http://screencast.com/t/YTkzNDEz Click here to watch the movie.
Right now as of this blog post I am going with a pretty wide area of 1-2” around Charlotte with lesser amounts the further north you go. When you head south into South Carolina expect closer to 2-3” especially around Rock Hill, Lancaster, Chester, Pageland, Wadesboro and Rockingham. The really heavy stiff 4” or more will be likely around or just South of Columbia to just North of Charleston. Florence, SC and Lumberton North Carolina may see the highest totals from this storm. I’ll keep thing updated today via Twitter @wxbrad or over at wcnc.com
Records are meant to be broken and this winter El Nino has done just that for many cities in the mid-Atlantic. Scary thing for these cities is there’s still a whole month left in winter which doesn’t officially end until March 20th.
LOCATION OLD RECORD AND YEAR / NEW RECORD
BALTIMORE, MD 62.5 INCHES 1995-1996/ 79.9 INCHES
WASHINGTON, DC (DULLES) 61.9 INCHES 1995-1996/ 75.0 INCHES
WILMINGTON, DE 55.9 INCHES 1995-1996/ 66.7 INCHES
WASHINGTON, DC (NATIONAL) 54.4 INCHES 1898-1899/ 55.9 INCHES
PHILADELPHIA, PA 65.5 INCHES 1995-1996/ 71.6 INCHES
ATLANTIC CITY, NJ 46.9 INCHES 1966-1967/ 49.9 INCHES
This is a cross section of the winds that are mixing down to the surface, Notice how low the core of 65kt winds are this evening.
Here the same cross-section for Boon notice how much closer to the surface the core of 65kt winds are. Plus remember if you live at higher elevation the ridge tops will be right in the heart of these winds.
This event from 2004 will most likely be very similar to what we see today
Read more about it here March 7th 2004
The big storm coming in tonight through weekend will mostly be rain for Charlotte, even though I expect some mixing in of snow and sleet later tonight before it changes to rain by sunrise Friday. The worst of the storm will be felt along I-40 and into the mountains where the makings of a major ice storm are coming together. Friday will be the peak of the event but on Saturday as colder air moves in from the northwest and the upper level part of the storm will be swinging through this could lead to a quick burst of snow even across the piedmont. I’m watching this carefully and an advisory might be needed for Saturday for this snow.
Here are the latest projections from yours truly on what will fall.
I’ll be fine tuning these forecast starting today at 4,5,5:30 and 6:00pm on
Okay so how did I do on my forecast this past weekends winter storm? End up not too bad I did go too high on the my snow/sleet totals but overall it ended up being pretty good
The last forecast Friday afternoon before the snow hit I went with 3-6” for Metro Charlotte. This was a slight adjustment down from my early morning assessment of 4-7”. The Airport officially had 3” but the northern park of Mecklenburg county had 4-5” and the southern tip 2-3”. So my error rate was about 33% or 1-2” for the county but this was location dependent and is some spots we were right on.
Overall not too bad for a very complex storm which ended up being a sleet storm like we expected, the one thing that was a surprise was the early arrival of a heavy band of snow around 5pm Friday evening. I didn’t expect the event to start until closer to 9-10 pm. Plus I feel like we had a good handle on the large and lasting impact this storm had on our entire viewing area. I ended up giving this a 6 on the Snow meter which was just about right considering the impact on my viewers. This also marked the highest level the meter has been at this winter.
Preliminary snow total map
Satellite picture of snow cover
********************STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL********************
LOCATION STORM TOTAL TIME/DATE COMMENTS
BETHLEHEM 6.0 1132 AM 1/30
BLACK MOUNTAIN 6.8 1039 AM 1/30
LENOIR 8.0 136 PM 1/30 6 SSW
LENOIR 7.0 904 AM 1/30 SNOW + SLEET ACCUM
GRANITE FALLS 6.5 1025 PM 1/30
GRANITE FALLS 6.0 1227 PM 1/30
NEWTON 9.3 934 AM 1/30 STILL SLEETING
CLAREMONT 9.0 844 AM 1/30
CONOVER 9.0 428 PM 1/30
CATAWBA 8.0 1019 AM 1/30 3 N
CATAWBA 8.0 314 PM 1/30
CONOVER 8.0 832 AM 1/30
WACO 6.0 830 AM 1/30
POLKVILLE 5.0 1004 AM 1/30 3.5 SE
SMITH GROVE 7.3 233 PM 1/30
COOLEEMEE 6.5 343 PM 1/30
CANTON 9.0 857 AM 1/30 5 S + 1/4" SLEET
MILLS RIVER 14.3 1235 PM 1/30
FLETCHER 10.0 1045 AM 1/30 6 ESE
BALSAM 8.0 243 PM 1/30 4 SW
TUCKASEGEE 7.5 830 PM 1/29 POWER LOST
LINCOLNTON 10.5 210 PM 1/30 5 N
LINCOLNTON 6.0 230 PM 1/30
EAST FRANKLIN 5.0 1004 AM 1/30 4 E
MARS HILL 12.0 1014 AM 1/30 4 NW
REVERE 6.0 1025 AM 1/30
OLD FORT 12.0 200 PM 1/30
MARION 8.0 1030 AM 1/30
CHARLOTTE 2.0 405 PM 1/30 S. CHARLOTTE HWY 51
LITTLE SWITZERLAND 10.3 145 PM 1/30
SPRUCE PINE 5.0 858 AM 1/30
CLEVELAND 7.0 920 AM 1/30
SALISBURY 7.0 833 AM 1/30 5 W
SUNSHINE 9.5 137 PM 1/30
DANIELTOWN 5.5 1204 PM 1/30
HARRIS 3.0 330 PM 1/30
BRYSON CITY 8.0 1224 PM 1/30 12.5 N (NEWFOUND GAP)
BRYSON CITY 3.0 1158 AM 1/30
CHEROKEE 2.0 1216 PM 1/30 3.5 N
PENROSE 13.0 1145 AM 1/30
MONROE 1.7 410 PM 1/30 1 N
CONCORD 5.0 1028 AM 1/30 8.5 W
GOWENSVILLE 2.3 845 AM 1/30 3 SSW SLEET/SNOW COMBO
NINE TIMES 0.5 253 PM 1/30
CONVERSE 5.0 1230 AM 1/30 7 NE SPARTANBURG
CHESNEE 4.5 808 AM 1/30 4 W + 1/4" ICE/SLEET
LANDRUM 4.5 520 PM 1/29 NWS EMPLOYEE
INMAN 4.0 817 AM 1/30 FREEZING RAIN NOW
BUFFALO 1.0 423 AM 1/30 POP REPORT
SANTUC 0.3 1158 AM 1/30 ALL SLEET WITH SOME ICE
CLOVER 2.0 1200 PM 1/30 SNOW/SLEET/ICE
***********************SNOW ON GROUND***********************
LOCATION SNOW TIME/DATE COMMENTS
ON GROUND OF
WEST ASHEVILLE 7.5 130 AM 1/30 LEICESTER HIGHWAY
MARS HILL 10.0 1014 AM 1/30 4 NW
***********************STORM TOTAL ICE***********************
LOCATION STORM TOTAL TIME/DATE COMMENTS
CLARKESVILLE 0.25 1000 AM 1/30 5 ENE TREES DOWN
CLARKESVILLE 0.25 330 PM 1/30 POWER OUTAGES
TIGER 0.25 1030 AM 1/30 TREE LIMBS BREAKING
INMAN 0.10 817 AM 1/30 FREEZING RAIN NOW
*********************** SNOWFALL REPORTS ***********************
STORM TIME/DATE COMMENTS
LOCATION SNOWFALL OF
NORTHERN TIP 1.5 830 1/30 AN ESTIMATED 1 TO 2 INCHES
OF SNOW AND SLEET AT US
HWY 521 AND HWY 160.
NORTHERN TIP 3.5 1330 1/30 COUNTY EM REPORTED 3 TO 4 INCHES
OF A MIXTURE OF SNOW AND SLEET IN
THE EXTREME NORTHERN TIP OF THE
COUNTY. NUMEROUS ACCIDENTS
OVERNIGHT AND THIS MORNING.
*********************** SLEET REPORTS ***********************
STORM TIME/DATE COMMENTS
LOCATION TOTAL OF
PAGELAND 1.5 940 1/30 1 TO 1.5 INCHES OF
SLEET ON GROUND. SOME
ICE IN TREES. SLICK
LANCASTER 1.5 1330 1/30 COUNTY EM REPORTED 1 TO 2 INCHES
OF SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN IN THE
TOWN OF LANCASTER. ICY ROADS.
RICH HILL CROSSROADS 1 1330 1/30 COUNTY EM REPORTED 1 INCH OF SLEET
IN THE RICH HILL AREA.
WHITMIRE 1.5 930 1/30 1 TO 1.5 INCHES OF SLEET
ON GROUND. ICE IN TREES.
SUMTER T 1730 1/30 SLEET REPORTED BY
******************** FREEZING RAIN REPORTS ********************
ICE TIME/DATE COMMENTS
LOCATION ACCRETION OF
CHERAW 1015 1/30 TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN
DUE TO ICE. POWER OUTAGES
IN CHERAW. NUMEROUS TRAFFIC
COUNTYWIDE 1130 1/30 LYNCHES RIVER ELECTRIC COOP
REPORTED A FEW POWER OUTAGES
THROUGHOUT THE COUNTY. MAINLY
DUE TO LIMBS ALONG WITH A FEW
TREES DOWN ON POWER LINES.
MCBEE 1000 1/30 TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN
IN THE MCBEE TO LAKE
There are still many details to be worked out from this storm but here are a few things I’m seeing so far.
NAM Model Snow Accumulations
NAM Model Ice/freezing rain Accumulations