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Records snowfall in the east

Records are meant to be broken and this winter El Nino has done just that for many cities in the mid-Atlantic. Scary thing for these cities is there’s still a whole month left in winter which doesn’t officially end until March 20th.

LOCATION                   OLD RECORD AND YEAR  / NEW RECORD

BALTIMORE, MD 62.5 INCHES 1995-1996/ 79.9 INCHES
WASHINGTON, DC (DULLES) 61.9 INCHES 1995-1996/ 75.0 INCHES
WILMINGTON, DE 55.9 INCHES 1995-1996/ 66.7 INCHES
WASHINGTON, DC (NATIONAL) 54.4 INCHES 1898-1899/ 55.9 INCHES
PHILADELPHIA, PA 65.5 INCHES 1995-1996/ 71.6 INCHES
ATLANTIC CITY, NJ 46.9 INCHES 1966-1967/ 49.9 INCHES

snowfall

Wind Storm could be worst since 2004

This is a cross section of the winds that are mixing down to the surface, Notice how low the core of 65kt winds are this evening.

Charlotte

clt_winds

Boone

 

Here the same cross-section for Boon notice how much closer to the surface the core of 65kt winds are. Plus remember if you live at higher elevation the ridge tops will be right in the heart of these winds.

tnb_winds

 

This event from 2004 will most likely be very similar to what we see today

wind.20040307

Read more about it here March 7th 2004

Up coming Winter Storm

The big storm coming in tonight through weekend will mostly be rain for Charlotte, even though I expect some mixing in of snow and sleet later tonight before it changes to rain by sunrise Friday. The worst of the storm will be felt along I-40 and into the mountains where the makings of a major ice storm are coming together. Friday will be the peak of the event but on Saturday as colder air moves in from the northwest and the upper level part of the storm will be swinging through this could lead to a quick burst of snow even across the piedmont. I’m watching this carefully and an advisory might be needed for Saturday for this snow.

 

Here are the latest projections from yours truly on what will fall.

SNOW

snow

ICE

ice

RAIN

rain

I’ll be fine tuning these forecast starting today at 4,5,5:30 and 6:00pm on 

image001

Winter Storm recap Jan 29-30, 2010

 

IMG_0024

Okay so how did I do on my forecast this past weekends winter storm? End up not too bad I did go too high on the my snow/sleet totals but overall it ended up being pretty good

The last forecast Friday afternoon before the snow hit I went with 3-6” for Metro Charlotte. This was a slight adjustment down from my early morning assessment of 4-7”. The Airport officially had 3” but the northern park of Mecklenburg county had 4-5” and the southern tip 2-3”.  So my error rate was about 33% or 1-2” for the county but this was location dependent and is some spots we were right on.

Overall not too bad for a very complex storm which ended up being a sleet storm like we expected, the one thing that was a surprise was the early arrival of a heavy band of snow around 5pm Friday evening. I didn’t expect the event to start until closer to 9-10 pm. Plus I feel like we had a good handle on the large and lasting impact this storm had on our entire viewing area. I ended up giving this a 6snowmeter on the Snow meter which was just about right considering the impact on my viewers. This also marked the highest level the meter has been at this winter.

 

 

 

Preliminary snow total map

accum.20100129-30

Satellite picture of snow cover

snow4_stitch

Select totals


********************STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL********************

LOCATION STORM TOTAL TIME/DATE COMMENTS
SNOWFALL OF
(INCHES) MEASUREMENT


NORTH CAROLINA

...ALEXANDER COUNTY...
BETHLEHEM 6.0 1132 AM 1/30

...BUNCOMBE COUNTY...
BLACK MOUNTAIN 6.8 1039 AM 1/30

...CALDWELL COUNTY...
LENOIR 8.0 136 PM 1/30 6 SSW
LENOIR 7.0 904 AM 1/30 SNOW + SLEET ACCUM
GRANITE FALLS 6.5 1025 PM 1/30
GRANITE FALLS 6.0 1227 PM 1/30

...CATAWBA COUNTY...
NEWTON 9.3 934 AM 1/30 STILL SLEETING
CLAREMONT 9.0 844 AM 1/30
CONOVER 9.0 428 PM 1/30
CATAWBA 8.0 1019 AM 1/30 3 N
CATAWBA 8.0 314 PM 1/30
CONOVER 8.0 832 AM 1/30

...CLEVELAND COUNTY...
WACO 6.0 830 AM 1/30
POLKVILLE 5.0 1004 AM 1/30 3.5 SE

...DAVIE COUNTY...
SMITH GROVE 7.3 233 PM 1/30
COOLEEMEE 6.5 343 PM 1/30

...HAYWOOD COUNTY...
CANTON 9.0 857 AM 1/30 5 S + 1/4" SLEET

...HENDERSON COUNTY...
MILLS RIVER 14.3 1235 PM 1/30
FLETCHER 10.0 1045 AM 1/30 6 ESE

...JACKSON COUNTY...
BALSAM 8.0 243 PM 1/30 4 SW
TUCKASEGEE 7.5 830 PM 1/29 POWER LOST

...LINCOLN COUNTY...
LINCOLNTON 10.5 210 PM 1/30 5 N
LINCOLNTON 6.0 230 PM 1/30

...MACON COUNTY...
EAST FRANKLIN 5.0 1004 AM 1/30 4 E

...MADISON COUNTY...
MARS HILL 12.0 1014 AM 1/30 4 NW
REVERE 6.0 1025 AM 1/30

...MCDOWELL COUNTY...
OLD FORT 12.0 200 PM 1/30
MARION 8.0 1030 AM 1/30

...MECKLENBURG COUNTY...
CHARLOTTE 2.0 405 PM 1/30 S. CHARLOTTE HWY 51

...MITCHELL COUNTY...
LITTLE SWITZERLAND 10.3 145 PM 1/30
SPRUCE PINE 5.0 858 AM 1/30

...ROWAN COUNTY...
CLEVELAND 7.0 920 AM 1/30
SALISBURY 7.0 833 AM 1/30 5 W

...RUTHERFORD COUNTY...
SUNSHINE 9.5 137 PM 1/30
DANIELTOWN 5.5 1204 PM 1/30
HARRIS 3.0 330 PM 1/30

...SWAIN COUNTY...
BRYSON CITY 8.0 1224 PM 1/30 12.5 N (NEWFOUND GAP)
BRYSON CITY 3.0 1158 AM 1/30
CHEROKEE 2.0 1216 PM 1/30 3.5 N

...TRANSYLVANIA COUNTY...
PENROSE 13.0 1145 AM 1/30

...UNION COUNTY...
MONROE 1.7 410 PM 1/30 1 N

...YANCEY COUNTY...
CONCORD 5.0 1028 AM 1/30 8.5 W

SOUTH CAROLINA

...GREENVILLE COUNTY...
GOWENSVILLE 2.3 845 AM 1/30 3 SSW SLEET/SNOW COMBO

...PICKENS COUNTY...
NINE TIMES 0.5 253 PM 1/30

...SPARTANBURG COUNTY...
CONVERSE 5.0 1230 AM 1/30 7 NE SPARTANBURG
CHESNEE 4.5 808 AM 1/30 4 W + 1/4" ICE/SLEET
LANDRUM 4.5 520 PM 1/29 NWS EMPLOYEE
INMAN 4.0 817 AM 1/30 FREEZING RAIN NOW

...UNION COUNTY...
BUFFALO 1.0 423 AM 1/30 POP REPORT
SANTUC 0.3 1158 AM 1/30 ALL SLEET WITH SOME ICE

...YORK COUNTY...
CLOVER 2.0 1200 PM 1/30 SNOW/SLEET/ICE

***********************SNOW ON GROUND***********************

LOCATION SNOW TIME/DATE COMMENTS
ON GROUND OF
(INCHES) MEASUREMENT


NORTH CAROLINA

...BUNCOMBE COUNTY...
WEST ASHEVILLE 7.5 130 AM 1/30 LEICESTER HIGHWAY

...MADISON COUNTY...
MARS HILL 10.0 1014 AM 1/30 4 NW

***********************STORM TOTAL ICE***********************

LOCATION STORM TOTAL TIME/DATE COMMENTS
ICE OF
(INCHES) MEASUREMENT


GEORGIA

...HABERSHAM COUNTY...
CLARKESVILLE 0.25 1000 AM 1/30 5 ENE TREES DOWN
CLARKESVILLE 0.25 330 PM 1/30 POWER OUTAGES

...RABUN COUNTY...
TIGER 0.25 1030 AM 1/30 TREE LIMBS BREAKING

SOUTH CAROLINA

...SPARTANBURG COUNTY...
INMAN 0.10 817 AM 1/30 FREEZING RAIN NOW

 

*********************** SNOWFALL REPORTS ***********************

STORM TIME/DATE COMMENTS
LOCATION SNOWFALL OF
(INCHES) MEASUREMENT

SOUTH CAROLINA

...LANCASTER COUNTY...
NORTHERN TIP 1.5 830 1/30 AN ESTIMATED 1 TO 2 INCHES
OF SNOW AND SLEET AT US
HWY 521 AND HWY 160.


NORTHERN TIP 3.5 1330 1/30 COUNTY EM REPORTED 3 TO 4 INCHES
OF A MIXTURE OF SNOW AND SLEET IN
THE EXTREME NORTHERN TIP OF THE
COUNTY. NUMEROUS ACCIDENTS
OVERNIGHT AND THIS MORNING.


*********************** SLEET REPORTS ***********************

STORM TIME/DATE COMMENTS
LOCATION TOTAL OF

(INCHES) MEASUREMENT


SOUTH CAROLINA


...CHESTERFIELD COUNTY...
PAGELAND 1.5 940 1/30 1 TO 1.5 INCHES OF
SLEET ON GROUND. SOME
ICE IN TREES. SLICK
ROADS.

...LANCASTER COUNTY...

LANCASTER 1.5 1330 1/30 COUNTY EM REPORTED 1 TO 2 INCHES
OF SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN IN THE
TOWN OF LANCASTER. ICY ROADS.

RICH HILL CROSSROADS 1 1330 1/30 COUNTY EM REPORTED 1 INCH OF SLEET
IN THE RICH HILL AREA.


...NEWBERRY COUNTY...
WHITMIRE 1.5 930 1/30 1 TO 1.5 INCHES OF SLEET
ON GROUND. ICE IN TREES.

...SUMTER COUNTY...
SUMTER T 1730 1/30 SLEET REPORTED BY
SPOTTER.


******************** FREEZING RAIN REPORTS ********************

ICE TIME/DATE COMMENTS
LOCATION ACCRETION OF
(INCHES) MEASUREMENT

SOUTH CAROLINA

...CHESTERFIELD COUNTY...
CHERAW 1015 1/30 TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN
DUE TO ICE. POWER OUTAGES
IN CHERAW. NUMEROUS TRAFFIC

ACCIDENTS

COUNTYWIDE 1130 1/30 LYNCHES RIVER ELECTRIC COOP
REPORTED A FEW POWER OUTAGES
THROUGHOUT THE COUNTY. MAINLY
DUE TO LIMBS ALONG WITH A FEW
TREES DOWN ON POWER LINES.


MCBEE 1000 1/30 TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN
IN THE MCBEE TO LAKE

ROBINSON VICINITY

Friday night into Saturday Winter Storm

There are still many details to be worked out from this storm but here are a few things I’m seeing so far.

NAM Model Snow Accumulations

snowaccm 

namsccm

NAM Model Ice/freezing rain Accumulations

iceaccm

Video Brieing

485 on our Weather Maps

I must have received about 20-50 emails since the 2 newest sections of I-485 have finally been completed in northwest Charlotte. All of them asking why our weather maps don’t show the newly completed sections. I have to remind people that all of our maps are mapped using a map database similar to the maps on your GPS in your car. As many of you know when using your GPS not everything is in there, in fact I would imagine like me if you drive the Northwest sections of 485 with your GPS on it might show you in the middle of the woods. This may be true for many new subdivisions and street across the Charlotte region as well. We too are at the mercy of the mapping databases and we are trying to get those updates expedited, but just to show you how varied the databases are here are some examples of maps of Charlotte from 1/15/10 all showing different parts of 485 either there or not there and these are real-time on-line maps!

First up this is NCDOT actual map on their website

ncdot485 

Yahoo Maps

yahoo485

Bing Maps

bing485

Google Maps (Just updated in the past 2 weeks)

google485

MapQuest

mapquest485

So again you see even these which are real-time on-line maps have various degrees of 485 completed. For us we have to wait for our Vendor WSI to update the maps and they are awaiting a 3rd party vendor who supplies them the mapping data. So much like the annual upgrade to your GPS in your car which may or may not have all the new roads, businesses and sub-divisions in it, we too must wait.

When you think about all the delays and projected vs. real completion dates of 485 you can imagine what a nightmare this has been not only for the drivers but for the people who keep our maps up to date.

Cold temperatures aren’t all bad

It’s January 12h and so far the New Year has been the deep freeze, here’s how the temperatures have looked so far.

Frozen fountain in Huntersville, NC via Younews at wcnc.com

011109-fountain_ice

 

PRELIMINARY LOCAL CLIMATOLOGICAL DATA (WS FORM: F-6)

STATION: CHARLOTTE NC
MONTH: JANUARY
YEAR: 2010
LATITUDE: 35 12 N
LONGITUDE: 80 57 W

TEMPERATURE IN F: :PCPN: SNOW: WIND :SUNSHINE: SKY :PK WND
================================================================================
1 2 3 4 5 6A 6B 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18
12Z AVG MX 2MIN
DY MAX MIN AVG DEP HDD CDD WTR SNW DPTH SPD SPD DIR MIN PSBL S-S WX SPD DR
================================================================================

1 50 31 41 -1 24 0 0.00 0.0 0 5.1 15 330 M M 7 12 20 320
2 34 19 27 -15 38 0 0.00 0.0 0 8.5 18 310 M M 1 25 300
3 34 15 25 -17 40 0 0.00 0.0 0 7.1 16 310 M M 3 22 310
4 38 17 28 -14 37 0 0.00 0.0 0 7.1 14 330 M M 0 18 320
5 38 16 27 -15 38 0 0.00 0.0 0 6.7 15 300 M M 3 23 340
6 41 18 30 -12 35 0 0.00 0.0 0 5.8 13 310 M M 0 20 310
7 47 15 31 -11 34 0 0.01 0.0 0 6.6 22 230 M M 6 8 30 220
8 36 20 28 -13 37 0 T 0.0 0 9.7 18 360 M M 8 25 350
9 37 16 27 -14 38 0 0.00 0.0 0 7.7 17 350 M M 4 21 350
10 39 17 28 -13 37 0 0.00 0.0 0 5.0 12 330 M M 0 16 330
11 45 15 30 -11 35 0 T T 0 4.2 16 190 M M 5 20 190
================================================================================
SM 439 199 393 0 0.01 T 73.5 M 37
================================================================================
AV 39.9 18.1 6.7 FASTST M M 3 MAX(MPH)
MISC ----> # 22 230 # 30 220
================================================================================
AVERAGE MONTHLY: 29.0  
DPTR FM NORMAL: -12.6

Notice all this negative numbers below average and for the month it’s –12.6° below, that is some serious cold especially after December was –4.5° below average.

It may seem like it will never get warm and you maybe are very sick of it by now but it’s not all bad. There are many good benefits from the cold. I thought I would put a sliver lining on the deep freeze, with my 6 reasons the cold isn’t necessarily a bad thing. Some humor and some real benefits and in no particular order. LOL

#6 If you have a warm season grass like Bermuda you can finally kill it off and get it our of the yard. It’s not hard to miss since it’s almost pure white by now next to your fescue grass.

#5 If you have a dog you know picking up after them can be a pain, at least now the poop is frozen and very easy to dispose of.

#4 You have a built in excuse to not exercise outdoors, wash you car, do yard work or do anything that requires you to be outside for longer than 15 minutes. (except golf it’s never too cold to golf)

#3 You get to wear all those awesome warm weather clothes you have in your closet but never get to wear.

#2 No mud to worry about since the ground is frozen you can’t track it in your house.

#1 All those pesky insects are being killed off, mosquitoes, fleas, ticks, termites, cockroaches and dare I say the Canker worms. They won’t all die but it sure gives us a fighting chance in the spring!

Best time of the year in the Carolinas

October splendor is here in the Carolinas and in my humble opinion this is the best month weather wise in the Carolinas. April would be a close second but for reasons I’ll explain October might be the best month of the year. October is usually defined weather wise as a month with mild sunny days and cool nights. You have to love that the average high for October is 73 and the average low is 51. April by the way is actually a tad cooler with an average high equal to October 10-7-09_viaduct_wcncat 73 but an average low of 49 which is cooler. April is dryer and the driest month all year at 2.95" of average rainfall compared to Octobers 3.66", but it always seems like there is more in April especially with the severe weather. Octobers has autumn color of trees changing from green to a rainbow of colors, and April has the rainbow of spring flowers.10-6-09_wcnc Seems like a tie until you think about allergies, while rag weed and mold can be a problem in October, April has just about every allergen known to man in the air. Combine that with the lack of rainfall to clean those allergens and that could seal the deal.

10-6-09_meadowsPictures by: Kristen Pickeral/Grandfather Mountain,Catherine Morton/Grandfather Mountain), Jim Morton

24 Hours of Booty Ride Forecast

Things are looking pretty good for the annual ride through Myers Park.

Temperatures will be warming up Saturday afternoon, but rain chances remain small and dew points will be pretty nice for late July. The humidity levels will be decreasing most of Friday and into Friday night making for good riding which will last into Saturday. Winds will be swinging around to the Northwest late Friday and then back to the Southwest late Saturday. Here is where you might run into head winds on the course.

Friday night as  you can see headwinds likely Friday night along the western part of the loop, but the wind speeds here will ne about 3-6 mph from the northwest. Good thing this is mostly downhill which will offset the pedaling need to battle the headwinds.

booty loop Friday

Saturday the winds will be swinging around to the southwest so headwinds will hit you in the eastern part of the course and the wind speed will increase with daytime heating to around 10-15 mph.

booty loop Saturday

Temperatures will be seasonally cool Friday night through Saturday morning. Late Saturday temperature will approach 90 degrees with sunshine so hydration will be a concern for all the day time riders Saturday.

Here’s an hour by hour forecast of course conditions graphed out.

 

hourly for booty

Summary:

Conditions should be ideal for this time of year will a nice Friday night through Saturday morning, rain free and a tad cool for this time of the year. Saturday the heat builds along with some humidity so the afternoon through evening riding Saturday will be the warmest along with the biggest headwinds. Unlike years past thunderstorms chances are much lower and the only threat from storms will come Saturday late afternoon and evening around 30%.

Forecast

Friday night partly clear low near 66

Saturday partly sunny with a 30% chance for storms highs around 90.

I’ll keep updating for the forecast for riders during the week via Twitter.

www.twitter.com/wxbrad

Good Riding!

 

Brad Panovich

Chef Meteorologist

WCNC-NBC TV

Charlotte, NC

The short growing season of 2008

ThDrip irrigation creates icicles and forms an insulation and way of protecting oranges on the trees Saturday, Jan. 13, 2007, in Exeter, Calif.Federal lawmakers announced bills Wednesday Feb. 7, 2007 to provide more than $1.2 billion in grants, low-interest loans and assistance to growers and workers affected by a recent crop freeze, last year's heat wave and flooding.e Charlotte area has been going through a pretty cool period temperature wise since the beginning of 2008. May 2009 was able to be 0.1 degrees above average but it was only the 4th month above average in the past 16 months. Overall the past year and 4 months has been a cool one. One statistic that went almost unnoticed by many including myself was that in the 2008 calendar year Charlotte had the second shortest growing season on record. The growing season is defined by the time between the last freeze in the Spring and the first freeze in the autumn. Last year 2008 that period was a mere 186 days, the last freeze was 4/16 and the first freeze was 10/20 last year. The shortest growing season on record here is 181 days set in 1963. When you look at the top ten shortest growing seasons in Charlotte history 5 or half of them have occurred since the year 2000.

 

LONGEST/SHORTEST PERIOD BETWEEN LAST AND FIRST FREEZE

DAYS DATES YEAR DAYS DATES YEAR
279 2/25-12/2 1946 181 5/2-10/31 1963
270 2/18-11/16 1997 4/19-10/18 2001
269 2/20-11/16 1880 186 4/16-10/20 2008
267 3/1-11/24 1938 4/10-10/14 2006
266 3/1-11/23 1935 4/25-10/29 2005
4/5-10/9 2000
192 4/10-10/20 1974
193 4/11-10/22 1976
4/9-10/20 1972