A pretty significant severe outbreak is about to unfold over the Ohio Valley this afternoon and evening. With the potential of moving southeast into the Carolinas late this evening and into tonight. The timing looks to be after 7-8pm for the mountains and closer to 11pm for the piedmont. The highest risk is currently in the mountains and foothills of North Carolina. Stay tuned for the latest watches and warnings through the afternoon and evening. Here’s a quick look at how thing are starting to develop.
Severe Weather outlooks from the storm prediction center.
All of these parameters are derived from the RUC model as of 12:00 pm EDT.
Significant Tornado Parameter Supercell Parameter
Effective Wind Shear Surface based CAPE