@TrentMWeather yeah that's why I didn't even try, way too steep.
It’s way early and I’d probably not even blog about this so soon…but. I have seen 2 runs of the reliable long range EURO model and a few runs of the GFS along with Canadian model. All of which are in somewhat agreement(rare) which makes me want to dig a little deeper. The fact that the EURO model started picking up on this storm first makes me take it a even tad more serious than if the GFS developed another “phantom” storm.
Here it comes the coldest air of the season so far this winter. The highs for Saturday will occur at midnight tonight and they will fall all day long tomorrow. The worst part is we could see windhcills 10°-15° colder than the actual air temperatures. Winds will be gusting 20-40 mph at times tomorrow. This will cause near blizzard conditions at times in the North Carolina mountains.
For the first time this winter there is lots of winter weather to talk about. The first part of this is the coldest air of the season on the way Friday night into the weekend. The second part is the possibility of a little winter precipitation east of the mountains. While the second part is still questionable the first part is a sure thing. The mountains will see a good 1-3” of snowfall with the Arctic front Saturday. There’s some new energy showing up in the Gulf of Mexico this weekend with the past few model runs. This is a trend that I’m watching closely.
You’ve all seen them. The tiny lizards that run all over the side of your house, the fence and the ground on warm and sunny days. They are called Carolina Anoles(Anolis carolinensis) and they come in two main colors green and brown. Though they are also often called American Chameleons because they will change colors depending on the background object they are sitting on. Lots of people keep them as pets and they are very resilient.
This winter is 2/3rds of the way over meteorologically and it’s been a far cry from a “real” winter even by Carolina standards. The mild temperatures have been only one part of the equation. We have had warm winter temperatures like this and not in the too distant past. The odd part to me and just about every other snow lover is the lack of snow. Not only have we had no snow but we have lacked even a hint of winter weather. Either snow, ice or mixed precipitation.
Not a lot of change from last night except for the threat increasing in eastern NC. I still think our biggest concern here in the western Carolinas will be a squall line which could produce damaging straight-line winds. There also is a small flood threat for the upstate of South Carolina into the mountains.
I’m keeping a close eye on the storm system down in Louisiana and Mississippi right now. This system has brought flooding rains and severe storms to Texas already and is doing the same tonight along the Mississippi river. I expect the system to weaken a bit but there will be enough energy left with this that it bears watching for some strong storms. I don’t expect any tornado threat right now unless the triple point track right over us.