Over the past 14 days the Western Carolinas has had between 400-600% of our normal rainfall over that period. fb.me/B0NxO4KT
Get ready for weekend #2 of heavy rainfall around the Southeast. This time there is more moisture and a saturated ground in place for more widespread flooding. The combination of a cut-off low and a subtropical low over Florida combined with deep tropical moisture could really unload with some heavy rain. Here’s a quick discussion of the set-up with some select model guidance that is all pointing to the same concoction, start building an ARK!
Not looking good for the race today down in Daytona. There will on and off rain showers all afternoon with some improvement this evening. Here’s a updated look at the model data this morning. The RAP or Rapid Refresh Model is the only model that shows some significant breaking up of the rain by 5pm. All the current guidance has rain on and off from Noon-5pm. I can’t see this race getting in today unless the race well into the night with lots of red flags. Problem with running the race tomorrow is it’s looking pretty wet especially early Monday as well. Looks like last seasons rain has followed Nascar into 2012.
A large a very powerful storm system will be moving towards the Carolinas this weekend. This storm is already forming over Texas today and will intensify over the Gulf Coast late tonight. Then it will move over the Carolinas and off the North Carolina coast during the evening on Sunday. Saturday will be just fine around the Charlotte area until late in the day when clouds will start to increase. Saturday night rain will spread across the region from the south and west. Some of this rain will be heavy at times especially Sunday morning. We could pick up between 1-2” of rainfall in some locations by Sunday afternoon.
Last winter was our second straight winter with well below temperatures and slightly above average snowfall in the Charlotte region. We had 6.1” of snow and the temperatures were the coldest since the late 1970s. This was highlighted by the first white Christmas in charlotte in 63 years.
Grab the umbrella and rain gear for a Wednesday washout. It’s like a repeat of the this past weekend tomorrow, more clouds, more rain and more cold temperatures in your Wednesday forecast. High pressure again is wedging itself down the eastern slopes of the Blue Ridge while another large low pressure system moves across the the Gulf Coast. The rain starts early in the morning and last just about all day long, rain totals could approach 1” in many locations. You can track the rain in real-time with our interactive and county by county radars on wcnc.com.
Here’s where the system is now and how much rain will fall, stay dry and warm!