Winter Storm Next Week?

Doesn’t look like much now but the models have been flip flopping on a potential winter storm for Thursday next week. The European model has been more bullish with the storm but even it has backed off. This model has performed the best this winter so far. ecmwf_apcp_f156_us

The GFS has all but lost the storm with the 18z run, but this is not unusually for this model this winter.

gfs_op_apcp_f144_us

This is really a waiting game and with the pattern the way it is, plus the cold air coming south something is bound to happen. The question is, how Strong and when? Stay tuned we’ll likely know much more on Monday and I’ll be posting an update Monday regardless. The good news is the NAO and AO are both scheduled to go positive after Valentines Day. Which combined with the long range GFS points to milder weather for later this month.    STAY TUNED!