A strong cold front will be bringing the threat for severe storms to the area Friday afternoon and evening. There are a few things that may reduce or enhance the chances of severe storms. Mainly the timing of the front and the amount of heating and instability that is achieved prior to arrival of this front. Right now that arrival and threat appears to be late afternoon and evening with the primary threat being straight line winds. If the front arrives sooner then the threat could be diminished but if it arrives slower during the heating of the late day and evening then the severe threat could increase. Below is a video discussion of the potential event.
Many will not forget the early morning hours of Saturday March 3rd, 2012 in the Reedy Creek neighborhood. Around 2:34am a EF-2 tornado with winds of around 135mph touched down with a path of destruction 200 yards wide and 3.2 miles long. A total of 192 homes were damaged or destroyed in Mecklenburg and Cabarrus counties. The completed damage survey can be found here.
Not a lot of change from last night except for the threat increasing in eastern NC. I still think our biggest concern here in the western Carolinas will be a squall line which could produce damaging straight-line winds. There also is a small flood threat for the upstate of South Carolina into the mountains.
I’m keeping a close eye on the storm system down in Louisiana and Mississippi right now. This system has brought flooding rains and severe storms to Texas already and is doing the same tonight along the Mississippi river. I expect the system to weaken a bit but there will be enough energy left with this that it bears watching for some strong storms. I don’t expect any tornado threat right now unless the triple point track right over us.
With last nights and this mornings terrible news of yet another tornado outbreak. Combined with the tornadoes here in North Carolina and the outbreak early last week. The questions and comments are pouring in to me.
- Brad…. these winter tornadoes I’ve never heard of such a thing.
- Isn’t this extremely rare?
- Winter tornadoes aren’t supposed to happen…right?
Things are coming together for a major severe weather outbreak tonight into Monday morning. Please start preparing in the Ohio Valley into the Mid-South. These storms will strike in January and at night making for a potentially deadly combination. Make sure you, your family, friends and relatives are weather aware going into Sunday night: