Not many will forget Hurricane Sandy as it impacted the entire state of North Carolina as well as devastating parts of the Northeast. From the Outer Banks into the mountains the impact were large. Here’s a look back at the impacts and highest impacts in the state. Read more
Posts from the ‘Tropical Weather’ Category
Today is September 3rd which is pretty much right in the middle of the Atlantic hurricane season. The peak of the season climatologically is Sept 10th but we are close enough. Most people are wondering why the season has seemed so quiet so far? The answer is complex it’s both part science but also in large part a communication failure of how we focus too much on Hurricane Seasonal Forecasts of named storms. For a long time I have not been a fan of all the mass exposure the seasonal forecasts get. The number of named storms is just a horrible metric of seasonal severity and intensity. The general public does not care how many storms there are in the entire Atlantic they simply care whether or not they will affect them. So 15-20 “fish” storms are irrelevant to the public if none of them impact the U.S. Especially when all the news coverage seems to be about a “bad” hurricane season based on the high number of storms forecasted. The problems arise when people think something is going to happen and it doesn’t they lose their sense of being prepared. Read more
Well as if the wet weather recently wasn’t enough there’s a chance we maybe adding to our misery with a tropical system by the end of this weekend. I am not expecting Chantal to become a strong storm but the tropical moisture that could be moving our way is a huge problem. The same pattern which has soaked us for the past 30 days is the same kind of pattern that will steer Chantal and it’s remnants our way by Sunday into Monday. Read more
The impacts of Sandy are about to really be felt across the North Carolina Mountains starting tonight through Wednesday. Today is the time to prepare for damaging winds and heavy snowfall that combined will cause major tree and power line damage. The time line on all of this is starting tonight and ramping up Monday with the worst occurring Monday night through Tuesday night. Here’s a look at the possibilities as things unfold tonight into early this week. Video Discussion below…
Tropical Storm Sandy may end up causing more issues on the coast than people might imagine. Sometimes we focus too much on the category of a storm or the line track and not all the impacts associated with tropical systems. This would be a prime example here with Sandy. Even though the storm’s center might stay well offshore the impacts on the coast could be large and long-lasting. I can’t stress enough that if you live in the coastal zone be ready for possible flooding. This large storm combined with it’s long duration and a full moon Monday will lead to very high water. Here’s a look at what might happen this weekend into next week. Now is the time to prepare.
Here’s a quick video vlog on the what’s going on with Isaac. Needless to say anyone on the entire gulf coast needs to be prepared for a hurricane. New Orleans due to so much of the city sitting below sea level and the time it takes to move people to safety. You need to be very cautious with this storm.
It’s still early but some thing are slowly coming into better agreement on the eventual path of Isaac. There is still much uncertainty on the strength of the storm once it moves into the Gulf of Mexico but once there is will have the opportunity to gain strength. The model guidance is pretty solid now in the next 72-84 hours thanks to the NOAA Gulf stream upper air recon flights. Additional upper air data will be added by special sounding launches over the U.S. the next few days. I’m actually a bit more certain on the landfall location then what happen after landfall. So here we go with the maps and modes.
Everyone is very familiar now with military drones like the predator. Which rose in fame during the Iraq and Afghanistan wars and now for missile strikes on al-Qaeda in remotes areas of the world. One of the other high altitude surveillance drones the Global Hawk is being adapted to do hurricane and severe weather research. One of the main issues with gathering weather data over the ocean in particular is we just don’t have much data to go on.
For the second weekend in a row there is a good chance we could see an early season tropical storm off the Carolina coasts. Just like last weekend we aren’t talking about a major storm, but with many people heading to the beach this weekend there could be some impacts. The main threat from rain and clouds wouldn’t be until Sunday or Monday. There are still many things to work out with this system.
I’ve been watching this low for a few days now and last night it really got it’s act together. There is a tight low level circulation but it’s mainly a cold core system. Meaning it’s not truly a tropical storm but likely a hybrid storm or even a sub-tropical depression. Check the radar and satellite loop below.